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SC model


year tabs above, SC model selection details

significant covariates

waic for significant models

density and covariate estimates


Density Estimates by Species, Year

top model plots:

top model plots zoom:

dot model plots:

dot model plots zoom:


####plot notes

top model plots:
density estimate is from the top model by waic
poorly converging models have been censored

dot model plots:
estimates are from the dot (no covariate) model by species
include poorly converging models, poor models often have very wide confidence intervals
black bear did not converge very well, despite tight ci










density estimates and significant covs

2016



species density estimates (per 100 sqkm)

species n_effective density hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper
AmericanMarten 277 13.511 5.1 41.35
Bobcat 52 2.191 1.7 78.73
Coyote 144 23.352 10.2 70.23
WhiteTailedJackrabbit 102 9.641 3.4 78.16





Covariates on detection (x = not significant)

AmericanMarten Bobcat Coyote WhiteTailedJackrabbit
lure x x -0.588 x
snow x x x 0.713
temp x x x x
pass x x x x
temp*snow x x x x
lure*snow x x x x

2017



species density estimates (per 100 sqkm)

species n_effective density hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper
AmericanBadger 474 1.311 0.60 25.99
AmericanMarten 900 17.299 6.04 62.85
Bobcat 595 71.639 7.25 161.95
Coyote 760 63.394 23.57 148.05



bobcat and coyote did not converge well, estimates are suspect



Covariates on detection (x = not significant)

AmericanBadger AmericanMarten Bobcat Coyote
lure x -0.818 x -0.346
snow x x x x
temp x x 1.376 x
pass x x x x
temp*snow x x x x
lure*snow x x x x

2018



species density estimates (per 100 sqkm)

species n_effective density hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper
AmericanBlackBear 10856 0.62 0.62 0.62
AmericanMarten 913 9.234 3.11 36.65
Coyote 975 12.654 4.97 60.26
RedFox 3557 1.242 1.24 4.97
WhiteTailedJackrabbit 561 36.4 9.94 134.19



White tailed jackrabbit, poor model convergenc, estimate is suspect



Covariates on detection (x = not significant)

AmericanBlackBear AmericanMarten Coyote LongTailedWeasel RedFox WhiteTailedJackrabbit
lure -1.64 -1.035 x x x x
snow -1.291 x x x x x
temp 0.822 x x x x x
pass x x x x x x
temp*snow x x x x x x
lure*snow x x x x x x

2019



species density estimates (per 100 sqkm)

species n_effective density hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper
AmericanBlackBear 11201 1.123 1.12 2.25
AmericanMarten 1043 19.136 8.42 60.08
Bobcat 323 2.203 1.12 65.70
Coyote 1100 7.790 3.37 26.39
RedFox 466 0.561 0.56 2.81
WhiteTailedJackrabbit 256 13.374 5.61 79.17





Covariates on detection (x = not significant)

AmericanBlackBear AmericanMarten Bobcat Coyote LongTailedWeasel RedFox WhiteTailedJackrabbit
lure x x x -0.977 x x x
snow x x x 0.47 x x 0.467
temp x 0.291 x x x x -0.813
pass x x x x x x x
temp*snow x x x x x x 1.103
lure*snow x x x x x x x

survey summary info:



carnivore detections by survey season:
2016 2017 2018 2019
AmericanBadger 0 11 3 2
AmericanBlackBear 4 5 20 19
AmericanMarten 46 42 34 88
Bobcat 6 10 3 6
Coyote 218 188 50 43
LongTailedWeasel 1 7 5 26
MountainLion 1 1 6 3
RedFox 0 0 13 3
ShortTailedWeasel 1 1 0 0
WhiteTailedJackrabbit 31 46 66 104



camera operational days by year

2016

2017

2018

2019