2017 SC Model Results
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Year:        2016

Species:      Bobcat

Study Site:    SN east side cells



Metadata Summary:

n_sites N_detections rep_period model_agg_M iterations burnin thin state_buffer
19 6 7 days 300 350000 20000 20 2.5



WAIC

Models by WAIC:
model description WAIC
sc.fm1 dot model 60.73971
sc.fm2.3 pass 63.90897
sc.fm2.1 snow 65.07062
sc.fm2.2 temp 65.32877
sc.fm2.0 lure 66.11828
sc.fm3.1 lure + pass 66.24677
sc.fm4.2 lure + snow + temp + pass 67.25426
sc.fm5.1 lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow 67.45554
sc.fm4.0 lure + snow + temp 67.49012
sc.fm3.0 lure + snow 67.49747
sc.fm5.0 lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow 68.77032



Reversible Jump MCMC:

sc.fm6.0 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
psi.ind 0.12512
beta.ind[1] 0.00358
beta.ind[2] 0.00164
beta.ind[3] 0.00073
beta.ind[6] 0.00012
beta.ind[4] 0.00000
beta.ind[5] 0.00000
sc.fm6.1 model: (reverse jump - unconstrained) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
beta.ind[4] 0.15430
psi.ind 0.14784
beta.ind[1] 0.00345
beta.ind[2] 0.00273
beta.ind[5] 0.00176
beta.ind[6] 0.00127
beta.ind[3] 0.00036
sc.fm6.4 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass
cov indicator_mean
psi.ind 0.16951
beta.ind[1] 0.00491
beta.ind[2] 0.00436
beta.ind[3] 0.00073
beta.ind[4] 0.00000




Model summaries:

sc.fm1    summary:

dot model

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 52 43.766 3.868 3.0 139.00 0
D 52 24.789 2.191 1.7 78.73 0
sigma 12626 1.122 1.118 0.9 1.36 0
lam0 696 0.068 0.003 0.0 0.13 0

N

D

sigma

lam0






sc.fm2.0    summary:

lure

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 72 150.655 8.806 5.00 271.00 0.00000
D 72 85.333 4.988 2.83 153.50 0.00000
sigma 16500 1.169 1.167 0.94 1.39 0.00000
beta0.lam0 142 -6.372 -6.748 -8.21 -4.45 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -1.637 -1.061 -3.27 0.17 0.51599

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.1    summary:

snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 60 134.607 9.677 4.00 267.00 0.00000
D 60 76.243 5.481 1.70 150.67 0.00000
sigma 14996 1.171 1.177 0.95 1.40 0.00000
beta0.lam0 113 -6.111 -6.623 -8.02 -4.12 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 0.877 0.640 -0.23 1.93 0.52225

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.2    summary:

temp

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 71 140.744 10.548 5.00 270.00 0.00000
D 71 79.719 5.975 2.83 152.93 0.00000
sigma 16500 1.170 1.184 0.95 1.40 0.00000
beta0.lam0 135 -5.927 -6.389 -7.60 -4.17 0.00028
beta.lam0[1] 15982 -0.065 -0.025 -0.77 0.57 0.99962

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.3    summary:

pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 70 140.992 9.677 4.00 265.00 0.00000
D 70 79.860 5.481 2.27 150.10 0.00000
sigma 16887 1.169 1.157 0.95 1.40 0.00000
beta0.lam0 112 -5.831 -6.394 -7.55 -4.02 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 0.318 2.337 -160.45 156.61 0.99984

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm3.0    summary:

lure + snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 64 143.301 11.129 6.00 268.00 0.00000
D 64 81.167 6.304 3.40 151.80 0.00000
sigma 16500 1.169 1.182 0.94 1.39 0.00000
beta0.lam0 133 -6.619 -7.041 -8.57 -4.64 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -1.491 -0.919 -3.09 0.30 0.70683
beta.lam0[2] 16632 0.737 0.476 -0.36 1.77 0.68741

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm3.1    summary:

lure + pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 72 137.461 35.516 7.00 269.00 0.00000
D 72 77.860 20.117 3.96 152.36 0.00000
sigma 16500 1.172 1.177 0.95 1.40 0.00000
beta0.lam0 162 -6.289 -6.640 -8.06 -4.46 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -1.646 -0.902 -3.29 0.19 0.51793
beta.lam0[2] 16500 0.758 16.974 -162.54 159.67 0.98024

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm4.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 81 161.317 287.516 46.00 300.00 0.00000
D 81 91.372 162.852 26.05 169.92 0.00000
sigma 16000 1.171 1.151 0.94 1.39 0.00000
beta0.lam0 235 -7.218 -7.316 -9.06 -5.33 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -1.625 -1.207 -3.32 0.37 0.64155
beta.lam0[2] 16500 1.645 1.423 0.12 3.11 0.21485
beta.lam0[3] 16500 1.252 1.194 -0.19 2.65 0.40772

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]






sc.fm4.2    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 81 119.008 12.290 4.00 239.00 0.00000
D 81 67.407 6.961 2.27 135.37 0.00000
sigma 16500 1.170 1.172 0.94 1.40 0.00000
beta0.lam0 199 -6.767 -7.036 -8.81 -4.54 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -1.618 -1.262 -3.39 0.33 0.64460
beta.lam0[2] 16500 1.643 1.528 0.13 3.12 0.22617
beta.lam0[3] 16500 1.239 1.026 -0.21 2.66 0.41744
beta.lam0[4] 16136 -1.272 -8.064 -158.45 160.07 0.99772

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]






sc.fm5.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 70 127.791 11.419 3.00 263.00 0.00000
D 70 72.382 6.468 1.70 148.97 0.00000
sigma 16500 1.170 1.175 0.95 1.40 0.00000
beta0.lam0 173 -6.472 -6.833 -8.74 -4.10 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16164 -1.741 -1.147 -3.54 0.30 0.59772
beta.lam0[2] 16500 1.259 1.025 -0.32 2.76 0.52387
beta.lam0[3] 16500 1.434 1.274 0.03 2.83 0.26740
beta.lam0[4] 16500 -0.070 -4.704 -156.83 164.46 0.99888
beta.lam0[5] 16500 0.856 0.772 -0.40 2.15 0.59192

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]






sc.fm5.1    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 64 145.359 12.290 6.00 272.00 0.00000
D 64 82.333 6.961 3.40 154.06 0.00000
sigma 15291 1.171 1.157 0.94 1.39 0.00000
beta0.lam0 192 -7.474 -7.632 -9.73 -5.22 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -2.110 -1.602 -4.24 0.18 0.46539
beta.lam0[2] 16500 1.578 1.412 -0.06 3.19 0.30294
beta.lam0[3] 16500 1.250 1.036 -0.32 2.68 0.44471
beta.lam0[4] 16500 -0.457 -0.673 -160.58 159.68 0.99999
beta.lam0[5] 16500 -1.036 -0.953 -2.73 0.63 0.51301

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]