2017 SC Model Results
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Year:        2016

Species:      AmericanMarten

Study Site:    SN east side cells



Metadata Summary:

n_sites N_detections rep_period model_agg_M iterations burnin thin state_buffer
19 46 7 days 300 350000 20000 20 2.5



WAIC

Models by WAIC:
model description WAIC
sc.fm2.0 lure 278.9063
sc.fm2.2 temp 279.1302
sc.fm3.1 lure + pass 279.4575
sc.fm1 dot model 279.4672
sc.fm3.0 lure + snow 279.5076
sc.fm4.2 lure + snow + temp + pass 280.4676
sc.fm2.1 snow 280.5230
sc.fm4.0 lure + snow + temp 280.8454
sc.fm2.3 pass 280.8708
sc.fm5.0 lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow 281.5078
sc.fm5.1 lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow 281.9797



Reversible Jump MCMC:

sc.fm6.0 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
psi.ind 0.12593
beta.ind[1] 0.00406
beta.ind[3] 0.00212
beta.ind[2] 0.00097
beta.ind[6] 0.00006
beta.ind[4] 0.00000
beta.ind[5] 0.00000
sc.fm6.1 model: (reverse jump - unconstrained) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
psi.ind 0.14415
beta.ind[4] 0.13691
beta.ind[1] 0.00491
beta.ind[5] 0.00436
beta.ind[3] 0.00285
beta.ind[6] 0.00073
beta.ind[2] 0.00061
sc.fm6.4 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass
cov indicator_mean
psi.ind 0.16782
beta.ind[1] 0.00515
beta.ind[3] 0.00412
beta.ind[2] 0.00133
beta.ind[4] 0.00000




Model summaries:

sc.fm1    summary:

dot model

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 277 41.403 23.854 10.00 74.00 0
D 277 23.451 13.511 5.10 41.35 0
sigma 1181 0.676 0.672 0.47 0.89 0
lam0 1886 0.247 0.175 0.07 0.41 0

N

D

sigma

lam0






sc.fm2.0    summary:

lure

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 236 53.675 30.034 13.00 96.00 0.00000
D 236 30.402 17.012 7.36 54.38 0.00000
sigma 1979 0.680 0.687 0.47 0.89 0.00000
beta0.lam0 804 -1.960 -1.801 -2.80 -1.07 0.00053
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.647 -0.622 -1.16 -0.08 0.17236

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.1    summary:

snow

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 219 52.240 28.416 11.00 93.00 0.00000
D 219 29.589 16.095 6.23 52.68 0.00000
sigma 1774 0.682 0.688 0.48 0.90 0.00000
beta0.lam0 527 -1.863 -1.719 -2.76 -0.99 0.00251
beta.lam0[1] 16500 0.240 0.256 -0.03 0.50 0.38879

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.2    summary:

temp

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 166 61.930 30.909 10.00 123.00 0.00000
D 166 35.078 17.507 5.66 69.67 0.00000
sigma 1142 0.673 0.689 0.46 0.89 0.00000
beta0.lam0 464 -2.001 -1.824 -3.00 -1.01 0.00392
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.350 -0.338 -0.63 -0.08 0.11950

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.3    summary:

pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 221 52.107 31.064 12.00 94.00 0.00000
D 221 29.514 17.595 5.66 52.11 0.00000
sigma 1548 0.684 0.698 0.48 0.90 0.00000
beta0.lam0 656 -1.839 -1.734 -2.69 -0.95 0.00192
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -1.136 -1.768 -156.37 165.91 0.99988

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm3.0    summary:

lure + snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 146 52.865 27.842 12.00 97.00 0.00000
D 146 29.943 15.770 6.80 54.94 0.00000
sigma 1424 0.683 0.673 0.47 0.89 0.00000
beta0.lam0 516 -1.928 -1.785 -2.78 -1.01 0.00081
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.567 -0.488 -1.12 -0.02 0.32150
beta.lam0[2] 16500 0.161 0.149 -0.12 0.43 0.72432

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm3.1    summary:

lure + pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 168 60.460 31.578 12.00 118.00 0.00000
D 168 34.245 17.886 5.66 65.70 0.00000
sigma 1403 0.673 0.681 0.46 0.89 0.00000
beta0.lam0 412 -2.004 -1.786 -2.98 -1.10 0.00206
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.645 -0.628 -1.17 -0.09 0.16427
beta.lam0[2] 17119 0.644 -2.794 -160.95 156.31 0.99962

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm4.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 107 63.159 30.199 10.00 122.00 0.00000
D 107 35.774 17.105 5.66 69.10 0.00000
sigma 1481 0.674 0.662 0.46 0.89 0.00000
beta0.lam0 295 -2.063 -1.827 -3.07 -1.08 0.00228
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.479 -0.399 -1.00 0.04 0.43275
beta.lam0[2] 16500 0.027 0.013 -0.30 0.37 0.99821
beta.lam0[3] 15541 -0.262 -0.251 -0.60 0.06 0.47427

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]






sc.fm4.2    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 208 58.434 31.619 12.00 108.00 0.00000
D 208 33.097 17.909 6.80 61.17 0.00000
sigma 1462 0.672 0.677 0.46 0.89 0.00000
beta0.lam0 581 -2.050 -1.913 -2.99 -1.18 0.00144
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.480 -0.331 -0.97 0.05 0.44457
beta.lam0[2] 16074 0.023 0.016 -0.31 0.36 0.99537
beta.lam0[3] 15672 -0.266 -0.262 -0.59 0.06 0.42471
beta.lam0[4] 16500 0.809 -4.045 -154.76 162.12 0.99874

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]






sc.fm5.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 165 56.639 29.199 11.00 104.00 0.00000
D 165 32.081 16.539 5.66 58.34 0.00000
sigma 1316 0.676 0.663 0.46 0.89 0.00000
beta0.lam0 499 -1.884 -1.805 -2.80 -0.92 0.00328
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.491 -0.355 -1.01 0.04 0.45994
beta.lam0[2] 16500 -0.016 -0.021 -0.35 0.32 0.99399
beta.lam0[3] 16500 -0.097 -0.086 -0.51 0.30 0.94442
beta.lam0[4] 16449 1.087 3.151 -153.28 165.84 0.99952
beta.lam0[5] 16500 0.243 0.270 -0.11 0.60 0.54745

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]






sc.fm5.1    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 217 54.350 30.172 12.00 100.00 0.00000
D 217 30.785 17.090 6.23 56.07 0.00000
sigma 1628 0.679 0.657 0.47 0.89 0.00000
beta0.lam0 611 -2.010 -1.897 -2.93 -1.10 0.00013
beta.lam0[1] 15936 -0.509 -0.376 -1.02 0.05 0.41709
beta.lam0[2] 16204 0.038 0.052 -0.30 0.38 0.94704
beta.lam0[3] 16500 -0.263 -0.277 -0.60 0.06 0.48484
beta.lam0[4] 16500 0.506 -4.789 -155.09 163.21 0.99839
beta.lam0[5] 16500 0.039 0.002 -0.55 0.61 0.99996

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]