2017 SC Model Results
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Year:        2016

Species:      WhiteTailedJackrabbit

Study Site:    SN east side cells



Metadata Summary:

n_sites N_detections rep_period model_agg_M iterations burnin thin state_buffer
19 31 7 days 300 350000 20000 20 2.5



WAIC

Models by WAIC:
model description WAIC
sc.fm2.1 snow 155.6620
sc.fm5.1 lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow 155.9429
sc.fm5.0 lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow 156.0913
sc.fm4.2 lure + snow + temp + pass 157.2370
sc.fm3.0 lure + snow 157.3093
sc.fm4.0 lure + snow + temp 157.3332
sc.fm1 dot model 162.3660
sc.fm2.3 pass 163.4278
sc.fm2.0 lure 163.4510
sc.fm3.1 lure + pass 163.4970
sc.fm2.2 temp 163.7429



Reversible Jump MCMC:

sc.fm6.0 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
psi.ind 0.12879
beta.ind[2] 0.03794
beta.ind[3] 0.00091
beta.ind[1] 0.00085
beta.ind[4] 0.00000
beta.ind[5] 0.00000
beta.ind[6] 0.00000
sc.fm6.1 model: (reverse jump - unconstrained) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
beta.ind[5] 0.18479
psi.ind 0.17733
beta.ind[4] 0.17412
beta.ind[2] 0.03788
beta.ind[6] 0.00279
beta.ind[3] 0.00164
beta.ind[1] 0.00139
sc.fm6.4 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass
cov indicator_mean
psi.ind 0.17974
beta.ind[2] 0.05630
beta.ind[3] 0.00218
beta.ind[1] 0.00145
beta.ind[4] 0.00061




Model summaries:

sc.fm1    summary:

dot model

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 81 62.873 14.706 5.00 150.00 0
D 81 35.612 8.330 2.83 84.96 0
sigma 187 0.276 0.221 0.11 0.42 0
lam0 3382 1.579 0.776 0.27 3.23 0

N

D

sigma

lam0






sc.fm2.0    summary:

lure

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 115 63.364 22.744 5.00 141.00 0.00000
D 115 35.890 12.882 2.83 79.86 0.00000
sigma 211 0.279 0.236 0.12 0.42 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1466 -0.086 -0.255 -1.25 0.94 0.82198
beta.lam0[1] 15498 -0.380 -0.266 -0.82 0.10 0.59936

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.1    summary:

snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 102 63.989 17.021 6.00 138.00 0.00000
D 102 36.244 9.641 3.40 78.16 0.00000
sigma 210 0.278 0.236 0.12 0.42 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1873 -0.324 -0.493 -1.47 0.76 0.60061
beta.lam0[1] 16500 0.777 0.713 0.28 1.24 0.01558

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.2    summary:

temp

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 82 56.850 14.995 5.00 125.00 0.00000
D 82 32.201 8.493 2.83 70.80 0.00000
sigma 260 0.293 0.276 0.12 0.44 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1024 -0.008 -0.227 -1.17 1.07 0.85018
beta.lam0[1] 16032 -0.240 -0.207 -0.57 0.12 0.56219

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.3    summary:

pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 141 59.837 16.910 6.00 128.00 0.00000
D 141 33.892 9.578 3.40 72.50 0.00000
sigma 267 0.280 0.250 0.13 0.42 0.00000
beta0.lam0 2687 -0.042 -0.305 -1.24 0.97 0.83525
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.821 -8.757 -163.50 159.29 0.99786

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm3.0    summary:

lure + snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 94 67.209 17.701 6.00 155.00 0.00000
D 94 38.068 10.026 3.40 87.79 0.00000
sigma 182 0.276 0.240 0.11 0.42 0.00000
beta0.lam0 2210 -0.336 -0.517 -1.52 0.74 0.62258
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.121 0.000 -0.47 0.24 1.00000
beta.lam0[2] 16500 0.750 0.694 0.24 1.25 0.03221

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm3.1    summary:

lure + pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 67 76.165 16.731 6.00 186.00 0.00000
D 67 43.141 9.477 2.83 104.79 0.00000
sigma 159 0.267 0.270 0.10 0.41 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1930 -0.109 -0.271 -1.25 0.91 0.84053
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.381 -0.273 -0.82 0.09 0.58723
beta.lam0[2] 16500 -0.096 -3.979 -157.64 159.30 0.99886

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm4.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 139 59.812 19.745 5.00 127.00 0.00000
D 139 33.878 11.184 2.83 71.93 0.00000
sigma 279 0.282 0.252 0.13 0.43 0.00000
beta0.lam0 2259 -0.454 -0.711 -1.70 0.62 0.48322
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.137 -0.005 -0.54 0.29 0.99981
beta.lam0[2] 16500 1.246 1.159 0.61 1.93 0.00721
beta.lam0[3] 16500 0.710 0.721 0.11 1.35 0.19705

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]






sc.fm4.2    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 91 66.945 18.843 5.00 154.00 0.00000
D 91 37.918 10.673 2.83 87.23 0.00000
sigma 203 0.277 0.273 0.12 0.42 0.00000
beta0.lam0 2400 -0.504 -0.690 -1.64 0.62 0.48742
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.137 0.005 -0.54 0.28 0.99976
beta.lam0[2] 16500 1.253 1.180 0.60 1.92 0.00989
beta.lam0[3] 16981 0.716 0.696 0.08 1.31 0.18362
beta.lam0[4] 16500 -0.666 3.962 -163.91 157.41 0.99803

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]






sc.fm5.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 73 76.795 17.889 5.00 179.00 0.00000
D 73 43.497 10.132 2.27 100.82 0.00000
sigma 144 0.267 0.239 0.10 0.41 0.00000
beta0.lam0 2015 -0.056 -0.202 -1.27 1.06 0.89551
beta.lam0[1] 15520 -0.235 -0.059 -0.70 0.22 0.97036
beta.lam0[2] 15932 0.754 0.720 0.07 1.44 0.20831
beta.lam0[3] 16500 0.669 0.703 0.06 1.32 0.22315
beta.lam0[4] 16500 0.251 -7.889 -163.09 156.84 0.99240
beta.lam0[5] 16138 0.916 0.823 0.21 1.62 0.09116

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]






sc.fm5.1    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 106 59.813 14.735 5.00 131.00 0.00000
D 106 33.878 8.346 2.83 74.20 0.00000
sigma 234 0.281 0.264 0.12 0.42 0.00000
beta0.lam0 2019 -0.302 -0.525 -1.53 0.88 0.68303
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.245 -0.093 -0.67 0.19 0.87781
beta.lam0[2] 16500 1.484 1.535 0.74 2.24 0.00000
beta.lam0[3] 16061 0.654 0.595 0.05 1.27 0.24412
beta.lam0[4] 16500 -1.324 -3.804 -158.76 158.62 0.99917
beta.lam0[5] 16500 1.338 1.002 0.10 2.57 0.22799

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]