2017 SC Model Results
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Year:        2016

Species:      Coyote

Study Site:    SN east side cells



Metadata Summary:

n_sites N_detections rep_period model_agg_M iterations burnin thin state_buffer
19 218 7 days 300 350000 20000 20 2.5



WAIC

Models by WAIC:
model description WAIC
sc.fm5.1 lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow 776.9206
sc.fm4.2 lure + snow + temp + pass 777.3376
sc.fm4.0 lure + snow + temp 777.4157
sc.fm5.0 lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow 779.3633
sc.fm3.0 lure + snow 789.1976
sc.fm3.1 lure + pass 794.3763
sc.fm2.0 lure 794.4962
sc.fm2.1 snow 798.9835
sc.fm2.3 pass 808.1089
sc.fm1 dot model 808.2681
sc.fm2.2 temp 810.0371



Reversible Jump MCMC:

sc.fm6.0 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
beta.ind[1] 0.55994
psi.ind 0.20366
beta.ind[2] 0.03103
beta.ind[6] 0.01370
beta.ind[3] 0.00933
beta.ind[4] 0.00576
beta.ind[5] 0.00000
sc.fm6.1 model: (reverse jump - unconstrained) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
beta.ind[1] 0.59545
psi.ind 0.23737
beta.ind[4] 0.23212
beta.ind[2] 0.04188
beta.ind[3] 0.01776
beta.ind[6] 0.01109
beta.ind[5] 0.00067
sc.fm6.4 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass
cov indicator_mean
beta.ind[1] 0.66055
psi.ind 0.32491
beta.ind[2] 0.12267
beta.ind[3] 0.09812
beta.ind[4] 0.07297




Model summaries:

sc.fm1    summary:

dot model

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 395 52.677 33.185 17.00 89.00 0
D 395 29.837 18.796 9.63 50.41 0
sigma 817 0.799 0.808 0.56 1.04 0
lam0 1389 0.602 0.504 0.26 0.93 0

N

D

sigma

lam0






sc.fm2.0    summary:

lure

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 144 70.582 41.228 18.00 124.00 0.00000
D 144 39.979 23.352 10.20 70.23 0.00000
sigma 336 0.784 0.798 0.51 1.05 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1006 -0.883 -0.924 -1.50 -0.29 0.06932
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.592 -0.588 -0.85 -0.31 0.00000

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.1    summary:

snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 248 62.986 37.784 17.00 109.00 0.00000
D 248 35.676 21.401 9.63 61.74 0.00000
sigma 467 0.786 0.795 0.53 1.03 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1031 -0.740 -0.756 -1.33 -0.13 0.14611
beta.lam0[1] 15469 0.256 0.253 0.13 0.38 0.00309

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.2    summary:

temp

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 362 57.989 39.280 19.00 99.00 0.00000
D 362 32.845 22.248 9.06 54.38 0.00000
sigma 722 0.800 0.804 0.57 1.03 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1195 -0.701 -0.752 -1.30 -0.12 0.17566
beta.lam0[1] 16791 -0.002 0.003 -0.12 0.10 0.99920

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.3    summary:

pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 225 61.554 43.264 17.00 106.00 0.00000
D 225 34.865 24.505 9.63 60.04 0.00000
sigma 525 0.793 0.784 0.55 1.05 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1082 -0.708 -0.722 -1.32 -0.13 0.17669
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.763 5.059 -167.64 152.71 0.99613

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm3.0    summary:

lure + snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 250 60.607 39.437 18.00 99.00 0.00000
D 250 34.328 22.338 10.20 56.07 0.00000
sigma 625 0.803 0.814 0.56 1.05 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1183 -0.840 -0.864 -1.42 -0.25 0.08484
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.502 -0.502 -0.77 -0.23 0.00285
beta.lam0[2] 16500 0.203 0.197 0.08 0.33 0.03125

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm3.1    summary:

lure + pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 264 63.269 44.457 18.00 111.00 0.00000
D 264 35.836 25.181 10.20 62.87 0.00000
sigma 540 0.806 0.818 0.56 1.06 0.00000
beta0.lam0 991 -0.877 -0.900 -1.47 -0.26 0.08013
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.591 -0.582 -0.86 -0.31 0.00000
beta.lam0[2] 16500 0.467 3.810 -161.01 157.95 0.99938

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm4.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 240 64.991 43.385 18.00 114.00 0.00000
D 240 36.812 24.574 10.20 64.57 0.00000
sigma 517 0.796 0.787 0.55 1.06 0.00000
beta0.lam0 914 -0.926 -0.958 -1.54 -0.34 0.05754
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.591 -0.565 -0.88 -0.30 0.00290
beta.lam0[2] 16762 0.498 0.490 0.31 0.68 0.00000
beta.lam0[3] 16500 0.424 0.416 0.25 0.62 0.00000

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]






sc.fm4.2    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 266 60.141 38.063 19.00 107.00 0.00000
D 266 34.064 21.559 10.20 60.04 0.00000
sigma 545 0.810 0.846 0.55 1.05 0.00000
beta0.lam0 835 -0.891 -0.913 -1.48 -0.29 0.06240
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.591 -0.605 -0.87 -0.28 0.00214
beta.lam0[2] 16500 0.499 0.494 0.32 0.69 0.00000
beta.lam0[3] 16104 0.426 0.424 0.24 0.61 0.00061
beta.lam0[4] 16500 -1.246 -4.213 -161.06 156.71 0.99751

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]






sc.fm5.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 365 57.746 37.602 18.00 98.00 0.00000
D 365 32.708 21.298 9.06 54.38 0.00000
sigma 769 0.818 0.800 0.58 1.05 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1200 -0.849 -0.845 -1.49 -0.26 0.09157
beta.lam0[1] 16125 -0.604 -0.601 -0.88 -0.30 0.00000
beta.lam0[2] 16136 0.463 0.457 0.25 0.66 0.00000
beta.lam0[3] 16500 0.458 0.449 0.25 0.65 0.00116
beta.lam0[4] 16500 -0.380 -17.236 -165.29 154.06 0.99292
beta.lam0[5] 16500 0.062 0.059 -0.10 0.21 0.83350

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]






sc.fm5.1    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 226 62.738 36.452 20.00 110.00 0.00000
D 226 35.535 20.647 9.06 60.04 0.00000
sigma 493 0.787 0.787 0.52 1.02 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1043 -0.914 -0.921 -1.51 -0.32 0.05628
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.645 -0.628 -0.94 -0.33 0.00091
beta.lam0[2] 16500 0.456 0.448 0.26 0.65 0.00000
beta.lam0[3] 16500 0.419 0.429 0.23 0.60 0.00000
beta.lam0[4] 16500 1.073 -1.075 -159.29 160.07 0.99996
beta.lam0[5] 17601 -0.269 -0.280 -0.56 -0.01 0.29938

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]