2018 SC Model Results
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Year:        2018

Species:      AmericanMarten

Study Site:    Mono creek



Metadata Summary:

n_sites N_detections rep_period model_agg_M iterations burnin thin state_buffer
19 34 7 days 300 350000 20000 20 2.5



WAIC

Models by WAIC:
model description WAIC
sc.fm5.0 lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow 241.7562
sc.fm3.0 lure + snow 242.0566
sc.fm2.0 lure 242.0755
sc.fm4.0 lure + snow + temp 243.1683
sc.fm3.1 lure + pass 244.5205
sc.fm4.2 lure + snow + temp + pass 245.3601
sc.fm5.1 lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow 246.7961
sc.fm1 dot model 255.6601
sc.fm2.2 temp 256.1740
sc.fm2.1 snow 256.2032
sc.fm2.3 pass 258.6212



Reversible Jump MCMC:

sc.fm6.0 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
beta.ind[1] 0.69939
psi.ind 0.21301
beta.ind[2] 0.00497
beta.ind[6] 0.00079
beta.ind[3] 0.00073
beta.ind[4] 0.00006
beta.ind[5] 0.00000
sc.fm6.1 model: (reverse jump - unconstrained) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
beta.ind[1] 0.70497
psi.ind 0.21724
beta.ind[4] 0.01564
beta.ind[2] 0.00497
beta.ind[5] 0.00182
beta.ind[6] 0.00133
beta.ind[3] 0.00061
sc.fm6.4 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass
cov indicator_mean
beta.ind[1] 0.77776
psi.ind 0.29885
beta.ind[2] 0.00800
beta.ind[3] 0.00109
beta.ind[4] 0.00000




Model summaries:

sc.fm1    summary:

dot model

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 2164 22.214 13.103 5.00 39.00 0
D 2164 13.800 8.140 3.11 24.23 0
sigma 8715 0.732 0.733 0.54 0.93 0
lam0 6641 0.145 0.095 0.04 0.25 0

N

D

sigma

lam0






sc.fm2.0    summary:

lure

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 913 31.813 14.863 5.00 59.00 0
D 913 19.764 9.234 3.11 36.65 0
sigma 7686 0.734 0.727 0.55 0.93 0
beta0.lam0 2394 -2.776 -2.644 -3.76 -1.75 0
beta.lam0[1] 16030 -1.091 -1.035 -1.60 -0.60 0

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.1    summary:

snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 1233 30.488 14.261 6.00 57.00 0.00000
D 1233 18.941 8.860 2.48 34.17 0.00000
sigma 8210 0.741 0.734 0.54 0.93 0.00000
beta0.lam0 2526 -2.498 -2.328 -3.40 -1.52 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.444 -0.404 -0.79 -0.08 0.13377

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.2    summary:

temp

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 610 34.419 14.706 6.00 65.00 0.00000
D 610 21.382 9.136 3.73 40.38 0.00000
sigma 6757 0.736 0.738 0.55 0.93 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1377 -2.501 -2.451 -3.45 -1.45 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 15995 0.293 0.280 0.01 0.57 0.24714

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.3    summary:

pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 565 50.592 17.806 6.00 112.00 0.00000
D 565 31.430 11.062 3.11 68.96 0.00000
sigma 7746 0.751 0.753 0.55 0.95 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1028 -3.157 -2.934 -4.52 -1.94 0.00080
beta.lam0[1] 12952 1.034 0.932 0.13 1.92 0.17929

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm3.0    summary:

lure + snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 717 33.339 15.111 6.00 63.00 0.0000
D 717 20.712 9.388 3.73 39.14 0.0000
sigma 7489 0.738 0.735 0.55 0.93 0.0000
beta0.lam0 1866 -2.969 -2.889 -3.97 -1.88 0.0000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -1.163 -1.134 -1.69 -0.62 0.0000
beta.lam0[2] 16980 -0.400 -0.357 -0.73 -0.06 0.1585

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm3.1    summary:

lure + pass

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 508 58.580 15.284 5.00 138.00 0.00000
D 508 36.392 9.495 3.11 85.73 0.00000
sigma 8163 0.751 0.756 0.55 0.95 0.00000
beta0.lam0 929 -3.685 -3.339 -5.15 -2.25 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -1.099 -1.035 -1.58 -0.58 0.00000
beta.lam0[2] 11236 1.095 1.083 0.23 2.02 0.14426

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm4.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 667 33.362 14.127 5.00 61.00 0.00000
D 667 20.726 8.776 3.11 37.90 0.00000
sigma 7117 0.736 0.738 0.55 0.93 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1845 -2.975 -2.842 -3.99 -1.87 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16133 -1.225 -1.203 -1.80 -0.68 0.00177
beta.lam0[2] 16500 -0.432 -0.394 -0.77 -0.07 0.13960
beta.lam0[3] 15635 -0.111 -0.109 -0.44 0.21 0.83266

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]






sc.fm4.2    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 562 56.746 16.355 5.00 131.00 0.00000
D 562 35.253 10.160 3.11 81.38 0.00000
sigma 8690 0.748 0.729 0.55 0.95 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1042 -3.805 -3.524 -5.23 -2.37 0.00042
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -1.236 -1.162 -1.80 -0.67 0.00068
beta.lam0[2] 16500 -0.422 -0.408 -0.76 -0.06 0.14018
beta.lam0[3] 13716 -0.112 -0.116 -0.44 0.21 0.89252
beta.lam0[4] 12743 1.044 1.011 0.14 1.92 0.16203

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]






sc.fm5.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 497 63.235 16.731 6.00 152.00 0.00000
D 497 39.284 10.394 3.73 94.43 0.00000
sigma 9080 0.747 0.762 0.54 0.95 0.00000
beta0.lam0 923 -4.030 -3.645 -5.55 -2.57 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -1.373 -1.349 -1.98 -0.69 0.00000
beta.lam0[2] 17238 -0.713 -0.682 -1.13 -0.27 0.01666
beta.lam0[3] 15581 0.143 0.110 -0.27 0.57 0.92483
beta.lam0[4] 12109 1.044 0.953 0.19 1.93 0.14477
beta.lam0[5] 16500 0.806 0.780 0.23 1.32 0.05006

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]






sc.fm5.1    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 443 60.511 15.863 5.00 147.00 0.00000
D 443 37.592 9.855 3.11 91.32 0.00000
sigma 8428 0.747 0.752 0.55 0.95 0.00000
beta0.lam0 828 -4.078 -3.716 -5.72 -2.68 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 14606 -1.474 -1.380 -2.14 -0.75 0.00000
beta.lam0[2] 14074 -0.896 -0.811 -1.67 -0.07 0.18703
beta.lam0[3] 14895 -0.109 -0.132 -0.43 0.21 0.84899
beta.lam0[4] 12029 1.050 0.999 0.15 1.90 0.15409
beta.lam0[5] 14057 -0.583 -0.418 -1.43 0.35 0.71824

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]