2018 SC Model Results
  • Home
  • AmericanBlackBear
  • AmericanMarten
  • Coyote
  • LongTailedWeasel
  • RedFox
  • WhiteTailedJackrabbit




Year:        2018

Species:      Coyote

Study Site:    Mono creek



Metadata Summary:

n_sites N_detections rep_period model_agg_M iterations burnin thin state_buffer
19 50 7 days 300 350000 20000 20 2.5



WAIC

Models by WAIC:
model description WAIC
sc.fm2.2 temp 346.4278
sc.fm1 dot model 347.3106
sc.fm2.0 lure 349.2732
sc.fm2.3 pass 349.5627
sc.fm3.1 lure + pass 350.2545
sc.fm2.1 snow 350.3202
sc.fm4.0 lure + snow + temp 350.6276
sc.fm5.1 lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow 351.5297
sc.fm3.0 lure + snow 351.5687
sc.fm4.2 lure + snow + temp + pass 351.8693
sc.fm5.0 lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow 352.0501



Reversible Jump MCMC:

sc.fm6.0 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
psi.ind 0.12601
beta.ind[3] 0.00139
beta.ind[1] 0.00061
beta.ind[2] 0.00042
beta.ind[4] 0.00000
beta.ind[5] 0.00000
beta.ind[6] 0.00000
sc.fm6.1 model: (reverse jump - unconstrained) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
psi.ind 0.12596
beta.ind[3] 0.00121
beta.ind[1] 0.00061
beta.ind[4] 0.00061
beta.ind[2] 0.00048
beta.ind[5] 0.00042
beta.ind[6] 0.00030
sc.fm6.4 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass
cov indicator_mean
psi.ind 0.16686
beta.ind[3] 0.00242
beta.ind[1] 0.00091
beta.ind[2] 0.00055
beta.ind[4] 0.00000




Model summaries:

sc.fm1    summary:

dot model

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 975 50.068 20.370 8.00 97.00 0
D 975 31.104 12.654 4.97 60.26 0
sigma 2270 0.785 0.793 0.47 1.10 0
lam0 4119 0.113 0.080 0.03 0.19 0

N

D

sigma

lam0






sc.fm2.0    summary:

lure

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 678 66.444 23.531 9.00 137.00 0.00000
D 678 41.278 14.618 4.97 84.49 0.00000
sigma 1975 0.781 0.787 0.47 1.10 0.00000
beta0.lam0 2197 -2.633 -2.523 -3.55 -1.68 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16958 -0.173 -0.149 -0.43 0.08 0.58882

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.1    summary:

snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 658 71.029 25.543 9.00 151.00 0.00000
D 658 44.126 15.868 4.97 93.19 0.00000
sigma 1989 0.767 0.752 0.44 1.08 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1832 -2.670 -2.587 -3.59 -1.70 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16365 -0.112 -0.107 -0.36 0.12 0.77924

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.2    summary:

temp

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 703 66.163 22.381 10.00 135.00 0.00000
D 703 41.103 13.904 6.21 83.87 0.00000
sigma 1989 0.780 0.798 0.47 1.10 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1699 -2.675 -2.670 -3.63 -1.76 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 0.280 0.246 0.06 0.52 0.15513

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.3    summary:

pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 680 69.000 25.255 10.00 147.00 0.00000
D 680 42.865 15.690 6.21 91.32 0.00000
sigma 2021 0.763 0.760 0.44 1.08 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1715 -2.587 -2.523 -3.55 -1.58 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 15146 -0.020 -0.076 -0.83 0.74 0.99625

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm3.0    summary:

lure + snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 649 69.114 25.255 10.00 148.00 0.00000
D 649 42.937 15.690 6.21 91.94 0.00000
sigma 1814 0.773 0.768 0.45 1.09 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1769 -2.661 -2.563 -3.60 -1.70 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16911 -0.158 -0.145 -0.42 0.10 0.67034
beta.lam0[2] 16500 -0.095 -0.093 -0.34 0.15 0.83851

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm3.1    summary:

lure + pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 860 61.803 30.428 10.00 125.00 0.00000
D 860 38.394 18.903 4.97 76.41 0.00000
sigma 2214 0.775 0.799 0.45 1.08 0.00000
beta0.lam0 2856 -2.560 -2.501 -3.48 -1.60 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.173 -0.159 -0.43 0.08 0.61488
beta.lam0[2] 16020 -0.027 -0.036 -0.79 0.80 0.99574

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm4.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 746 65.183 26.117 9.00 134.00 0.00000
D 746 40.494 16.225 5.59 83.25 0.00000
sigma 2418 0.780 0.783 0.47 1.10 0.00000
beta0.lam0 2351 -2.679 -2.537 -3.62 -1.77 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.069 -0.049 -0.32 0.21 0.92436
beta.lam0[2] 16056 -0.040 -0.024 -0.28 0.21 0.98819
beta.lam0[3] 16500 0.248 0.267 0.00 0.51 0.31964

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]






sc.fm4.2    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 735 62.661 28.991 10.00 132.00 0.00000
D 735 38.927 18.011 6.21 82.00 0.00000
sigma 2357 0.775 0.771 0.46 1.09 0.00000
beta0.lam0 2334 -2.606 -2.530 -3.52 -1.60 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.070 -0.032 -0.33 0.20 0.94921
beta.lam0[2] 16500 -0.040 -0.029 -0.28 0.20 0.98463
beta.lam0[3] 16500 0.249 0.260 -0.01 0.50 0.29748
beta.lam0[4] 15693 -0.049 -0.057 -0.87 0.73 0.99232

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]






sc.fm5.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 770 65.577 24.680 10.00 136.00 0.00000
D 770 40.739 15.332 6.21 84.49 0.00000
sigma 2063 0.761 0.732 0.44 1.07 0.00000
beta0.lam0 2424 -2.592 -2.524 -3.54 -1.63 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16529 -0.023 0.014 -0.29 0.25 0.99313
beta.lam0[2] 16997 -0.128 -0.118 -0.39 0.14 0.75455
beta.lam0[3] 16914 0.337 0.341 0.06 0.62 0.16245
beta.lam0[4] 16737 -0.053 -0.068 -0.83 0.76 0.99530
beta.lam0[5] 16500 0.314 0.314 -0.02 0.63 0.31044

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]






sc.fm5.1    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 642 68.959 25.903 9.00 146.00 0.00000
D 642 42.840 16.092 4.97 90.08 0.00000
sigma 1887 0.768 0.766 0.45 1.09 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1746 -2.755 -2.691 -3.70 -1.74 0.00040
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.211 -0.178 -0.55 0.10 0.62849
beta.lam0[2] 16500 -0.027 -0.021 -0.28 0.24 0.99250
beta.lam0[3] 16500 0.219 0.212 -0.05 0.48 0.41594
beta.lam0[4] 15673 -0.009 0.021 -0.78 0.80 0.99770
beta.lam0[5] 17716 0.252 0.256 0.03 0.48 0.22412

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]