2017 SC Model Results
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Year:        2017

Species:      AmericanMarten

Study Site:    Humphreys Basin



Metadata Summary:

n_sites N_detections rep_period model_agg_M iterations burnin thin state_buffer
31 42 7 days 300 350000 20000 20 2.5



WAIC

Models by WAIC:
model description WAIC
sc.fm5.1 lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow 291.3082
sc.fm2.1 snow 294.6661
sc.fm3.0 lure + snow 295.5946
sc.fm4.0 lure + snow + temp 297.1479
sc.fm2.0 lure 297.8240
sc.fm1 dot model 298.2590
sc.fm4.2 lure + snow + temp + pass 299.1571
sc.fm3.1 lure + pass 299.7481
sc.fm2.2 temp 299.8479
sc.fm2.3 pass 300.1254
sc.fm5.0 lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow 300.5409



Reversible Jump MCMC:

sc.fm6.0 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
psi.ind 0.12916
beta.ind[1] 0.02764
beta.ind[2] 0.00327
beta.ind[3] 0.00018
beta.ind[4] 0.00000
beta.ind[5] 0.00000
beta.ind[6] 0.00000
sc.fm6.1 model: (reverse jump - unconstrained) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
psi.ind 0.13001
beta.ind[1] 0.02697
beta.ind[2] 0.00291
beta.ind[4] 0.00115
beta.ind[6] 0.00048
beta.ind[5] 0.00042
beta.ind[3] 0.00018
sc.fm6.4 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass
cov indicator_mean
psi.ind 0.17408
beta.ind[1] 0.04061
beta.ind[2] 0.00285
beta.ind[3] 0.00067
beta.ind[4] 0.00000




Model summaries:

sc.fm1    summary:

dot model

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 2516 33.478 20.738 9.00 57.00 0
D 2516 20.231 12.532 4.83 33.84 0
sigma 8354 0.787 0.782 0.58 1.00 0
lam0 6988 0.112 0.090 0.03 0.19 0

N

D

sigma

lam0






sc.fm2.0    summary:

lure

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 900 55.574 28.627 10.00 104.00 0.00000
D 900 33.583 17.299 6.04 62.85 0.00000
sigma 6274 0.792 0.791 0.59 1.00 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1995 -3.082 -2.931 -4.04 -2.06 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 15611 -0.917 -0.818 -1.53 -0.31 0.02407

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.1    summary:

snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 1827 37.682 23.455 11.00 65.00 0.00000
D 1827 22.772 14.174 6.65 39.28 0.00000
sigma 6967 0.788 0.775 0.59 1.00 0.00000
beta0.lam0 4895 -2.480 -2.409 -3.24 -1.67 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 0.329 0.330 0.09 0.57 0.09465

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.2    summary:

temp

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 1571 39.971 22.553 10.00 71.00 0.00000
D 1571 24.155 13.629 6.04 42.91 0.00000
sigma 8128 0.796 0.798 0.59 1.00 0.00000
beta0.lam0 3642 -2.519 -2.425 -3.36 -1.67 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16062 -0.065 -0.081 -0.31 0.19 0.92543

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.3    summary:

pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 1547 40.647 21.954 10.00 72.00 0.0000
D 1547 24.563 13.267 6.04 43.51 0.0000
sigma 8085 0.794 0.787 0.59 1.00 0.0000
beta0.lam0 3316 -2.488 -2.417 -3.32 -1.60 0.0000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.195 -0.231 -1.04 0.64 0.9093

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm3.0    summary:

lure + snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 1024 55.012 26.190 11.00 104.00 0.00000
D 1024 33.244 15.827 6.65 62.85 0.00000
sigma 6677 0.784 0.794 0.58 0.99 0.00000
beta0.lam0 2136 -3.036 -2.838 -4.03 -2.03 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 14386 -0.822 -0.685 -1.39 -0.24 0.04094
beta.lam0[2] 16500 0.281 0.293 0.04 0.51 0.17186

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm3.1    summary:

lure + pass

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 1016 53.724 25.255 10.00 99.00 0.00000
D 1016 32.466 15.262 6.04 59.83 0.00000
sigma 6633 0.793 0.786 0.58 0.99 0.00000
beta0.lam0 2048 -3.010 -2.954 -3.99 -2.01 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 15403 -0.913 -0.826 -1.50 -0.28 0.02146
beta.lam0[2] 15829 -0.260 -0.283 -1.09 0.52 0.85796

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm4.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 1332 51.900 26.117 11.00 95.00 0.00000
D 1332 31.363 15.783 6.65 57.41 0.00000
sigma 7557 0.783 0.784 0.58 0.99 0.00000
beta0.lam0 2781 -3.035 -3.007 -3.98 -2.05 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.907 -0.835 -1.55 -0.30 0.03893
beta.lam0[2] 16500 0.266 0.264 0.02 0.50 0.22376
beta.lam0[3] 16500 -0.133 -0.148 -0.45 0.17 0.83086

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]






sc.fm4.2    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 1247 50.534 27.600 11.00 94.00 0.00000
D 1247 30.538 16.679 6.04 56.20 0.00000
sigma 7736 0.785 0.781 0.58 0.99 0.00000
beta0.lam0 2632 -2.954 -2.913 -3.88 -1.90 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 15315 -0.907 -0.808 -1.50 -0.24 0.03823
beta.lam0[2] 16500 0.272 0.285 0.03 0.52 0.20312
beta.lam0[3] 16136 -0.129 -0.145 -0.44 0.18 0.81783
beta.lam0[4] 16500 -0.288 -0.328 -1.12 0.52 0.82609

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]






sc.fm5.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 1146 51.302 25.551 11.00 96.00 0.00000
D 1146 31.002 15.441 6.04 57.41 0.00000
sigma 7484 0.781 0.802 0.58 0.99 0.00000
beta0.lam0 2515 -3.016 -2.940 -3.99 -1.97 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16084 -0.996 -0.858 -1.64 -0.32 0.02628
beta.lam0[2] 16500 0.241 0.244 -0.02 0.49 0.32365
beta.lam0[3] 16010 -0.210 -0.201 -0.53 0.15 0.65479
beta.lam0[4] 16500 -0.307 -0.257 -1.12 0.55 0.86411
beta.lam0[5] 16500 -0.226 -0.239 -0.65 0.18 0.65996

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]






sc.fm5.1    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 1055 38.494 22.302 10.00 68.00 0.00000
D 1055 23.262 13.477 6.04 41.09 0.00000
sigma 7847 0.787 0.790 0.59 1.00 0.00000
beta0.lam0 3905 -3.139 -3.065 -4.10 -2.18 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 15472 -1.853 -1.798 -2.77 -0.91 0.00000
beta.lam0[2] 15899 0.667 0.660 0.31 1.01 0.01174
beta.lam0[3] 15971 -0.280 -0.241 -0.64 0.09 0.50219
beta.lam0[4] 15976 -0.223 -0.183 -1.10 0.64 0.86027
beta.lam0[5] 15289 0.928 0.974 0.34 1.52 0.04792

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]