2017 SC Model Results
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Year:        2017

Species:      Bobcat

Study Site:    Humphreys Basin



Metadata Summary:

n_sites N_detections rep_period model_agg_M iterations burnin thin state_buffer
31 10 7 days 300 350000 20000 20 2.5



WAIC

Models by WAIC:
model description WAIC
sc.fm2.2 temp 96.27115
sc.fm4.0 lure + snow + temp 99.69043
sc.fm4.2 lure + snow + temp + pass 102.39111
sc.fm5.1 lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow 104.02602
sc.fm2.1 snow 104.32978
sc.fm5.0 lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow 105.10510
sc.fm1 dot model 106.35869
sc.fm3.0 lure + snow 107.13764
sc.fm2.3 pass 110.07249
sc.fm2.0 lure 110.13851
sc.fm3.1 lure + pass 112.91774



Reversible Jump MCMC:

sc.fm6.0 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
beta.ind[3] 0.54261
psi.ind 0.19404
beta.ind[2] 0.00824
beta.ind[1] 0.00079
beta.ind[4] 0.00000
beta.ind[5] 0.00000
beta.ind[6] 0.00000
sc.fm6.1 model: (reverse jump - unconstrained) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
beta.ind[3] 0.53667
psi.ind 0.19650
beta.ind[5] 0.01945
beta.ind[2] 0.01018
beta.ind[4] 0.00242
beta.ind[1] 0.00152
beta.ind[6] 0.00115
sc.fm6.4 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass
cov indicator_mean
beta.ind[3] 0.64485
psi.ind 0.27601
beta.ind[2] 0.01224
beta.ind[1] 0.00158
beta.ind[4] 0.00006




Model summaries:

sc.fm1    summary:

dot model

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 484 56.634 8.117 3.00 151.00 0
D 484 34.224 4.905 1.81 91.25 0
sigma 16064 1.124 1.126 0.90 1.36 0
lam0 2080 0.024 0.002 0.00 0.06 0

N

D

sigma

lam0






sc.fm2.0    summary:

lure

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 536 147.506 16.856 13.00 275.00 0.00000
D 536 89.138 10.186 7.25 165.58 0.00000
sigma 16500 1.166 1.178 0.95 1.40 0.00000
beta0.lam0 744 -6.038 -6.558 -7.58 -4.56 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.268 -0.081 -0.89 0.39 0.96054

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.1    summary:

snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 546 148.340 104.032 11.00 269.00 0.00000
D 546 89.642 62.867 6.65 162.56 0.00000
sigma 17059 1.166 1.153 0.94 1.39 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1020 -6.648 -6.964 -8.36 -4.92 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -1.394 -1.098 -2.51 -0.22 0.09121

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.2    summary:

temp

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 595 151.418 118.548 12.00 268.00 0.00000
D 595 91.503 71.639 7.25 161.95 0.00000
sigma 16500 1.168 1.168 0.94 1.40 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1223 -7.134 -7.347 -8.89 -5.38 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 15479 1.492 1.376 0.76 2.23 0.00096

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.3    summary:

pass

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 474 138.271 14.817 6.00 265.00 0.00000
D 474 83.558 8.954 3.63 160.14 0.00000
sigma 16500 1.159 1.170 0.94 1.39 0.00000
beta0.lam0 786 -5.936 -6.574 -7.55 -4.16 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 14154 0.261 0.311 -0.93 1.46 0.91793

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm3.0    summary:

lure + snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 558 148.697 22.452 13.00 272.00 0.00000
D 558 89.858 13.568 7.25 163.77 0.00000
sigma 16371 1.167 1.161 0.95 1.40 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1022 -6.701 -7.065 -8.43 -4.91 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16054 -0.213 -0.089 -0.80 0.40 0.98624
beta.lam0[2] 15965 -1.370 -1.053 -2.49 -0.21 0.10523

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm3.1    summary:

lure + pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 511 134.945 14.032 6.00 260.00 0.00000
D 511 81.548 8.480 3.63 157.12 0.00000
sigma 16500 1.161 1.170 0.94 1.39 0.00000
beta0.lam0 798 -5.987 -6.604 -7.64 -4.25 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 17073 -0.265 -0.199 -0.90 0.39 0.98081
beta.lam0[2] 16088 0.248 0.288 -0.96 1.43 0.90862

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm4.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 544 148.452 19.548 12.00 273.00 0.00000
D 544 89.710 11.813 7.25 164.98 0.00000
sigma 16500 1.169 1.176 0.94 1.40 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1062 -7.530 -7.623 -9.41 -5.55 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 15413 -0.187 -0.042 -0.80 0.45 0.99677
beta.lam0[2] 16084 -0.904 -0.764 -2.07 0.34 0.58869
beta.lam0[3] 15534 1.341 1.266 0.61 2.11 0.00551

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]






sc.fm4.2    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 555 144.541 16.856 8.00 266.00 0.00000
D 555 87.347 10.186 4.23 160.14 0.00000
sigma 16420 1.166 1.165 0.95 1.39 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1110 -7.535 -7.793 -9.48 -5.44 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.176 -0.011 -0.82 0.44 0.99891
beta.lam0[2] 16500 -0.897 -0.709 -2.07 0.32 0.55799
beta.lam0[3] 16076 1.338 1.271 0.54 2.05 0.00367
beta.lam0[4] 16500 0.086 0.228 -1.09 1.35 0.97247

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]






sc.fm5.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 532 146.080 17.439 10.00 268.00 0.00000
D 532 88.277 10.538 5.44 161.35 0.00000
sigma 16500 1.167 1.166 0.95 1.40 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1037 -7.743 -7.899 -9.82 -5.72 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.197 -0.025 -0.83 0.46 0.99579
beta.lam0[2] 14378 -1.019 -0.619 -2.39 0.50 0.59088
beta.lam0[3] 13689 1.269 1.121 0.11 2.44 0.21206
beta.lam0[4] 16500 0.090 0.186 -1.12 1.31 0.96952
beta.lam0[5] 14539 -0.152 -0.362 -1.62 1.26 0.93075

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]






sc.fm5.1    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 553 152.508 32.613 15.00 277.00 0.00000
D 553 92.161 19.708 9.06 167.39 0.00000
sigma 16512 1.165 1.168 0.94 1.39 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1273 -7.929 -8.040 -10.00 -5.95 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.072 0.112 -0.87 0.77 0.98502
beta.lam0[2] 16114 -1.140 -0.799 -2.44 0.20 0.43507
beta.lam0[3] 15619 1.392 1.240 0.58 2.16 0.00297
beta.lam0[4] 16500 0.089 0.289 -1.11 1.31 0.99335
beta.lam0[5] 16500 0.378 0.469 -0.53 1.31 0.64080

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]