2017 SC Model Results
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Year:        2017

Species:      WhiteTailedJackrabbit

Study Site:    Humphreys Basin



Metadata Summary:

n_sites N_detections rep_period model_agg_M iterations burnin thin state_buffer
31 46 7 days 300 350000 20000 20 2.5



WAIC

Models by WAIC:
model description WAIC
sc.fm1 dot model 305.9508
sc.fm2.2 temp 306.2525
sc.fm2.1 snow 307.2260
sc.fm4.0 lure + snow + temp 307.8456
sc.fm2.3 pass 308.1183
sc.fm2.0 lure 308.2847
sc.fm3.0 lure + snow 309.3748
sc.fm4.2 lure + snow + temp + pass 309.8123
sc.fm3.1 lure + pass 310.2032
sc.fm5.1 lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow 311.0779
sc.fm5.0 lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow 311.0822



Reversible Jump MCMC:

sc.fm6.0 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
psi.ind 0.12461
beta.ind[3] 0.00115
beta.ind[2] 0.00073
beta.ind[1] 0.00030
beta.ind[4] 0.00000
beta.ind[5] 0.00000
beta.ind[6] 0.00000
sc.fm6.1 model: (reverse jump - unconstrained) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
psi.ind 0.12532
beta.ind[5] 0.00364
beta.ind[4] 0.00273
beta.ind[3] 0.00073
beta.ind[2] 0.00067
beta.ind[1] 0.00030
beta.ind[6] 0.00030
sc.fm6.4 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass
cov indicator_mean
psi.ind 0.16829
beta.ind[3] 0.00176
beta.ind[2] 0.00079
beta.ind[1] 0.00061
beta.ind[4] 0.00000




Model summaries:

sc.fm1    summary:

dot model

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution, choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 794 125.847 67.179 26.00 234.00 0
D 794 76.050 40.597 15.71 141.41 0
sigma 1237 0.301 0.282 0.17 0.43 0
lam0 6303 0.254 0.198 0.09 0.40 0

N

D

sigma

lam0






sc.fm2.0    summary:

lure

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution, choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution, choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 732 136.384 68.829 35.00 254.00 0.00000
D 732 82.417 41.594 21.15 153.49 0.00000
sigma 1424 0.307 0.279 0.18 0.43 0.00000
beta0.lam0 5322 -1.700 -1.613 -2.35 -1.01 0.00246
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.120 -0.055 -0.41 0.21 0.93219

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.1    summary:

snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution, choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution, choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 775 134.433 77.742 32.00 242.00 0.00000
D 775 81.239 46.980 19.34 146.24 0.00000
sigma 1294 0.307 0.266 0.18 0.43 0.00000
beta0.lam0 5805 -1.725 -1.703 -2.38 -1.07 0.00096
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.224 -0.218 -0.51 0.05 0.45881

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.2    summary:

temp

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution, choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution, choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 743 133.096 76.258 30.00 244.00 0.00000
D 743 80.431 46.083 17.52 146.85 0.00000
sigma 1369 0.309 0.295 0.18 0.43 0.00000
beta0.lam0 6018 -1.702 -1.648 -2.37 -1.06 0.00231
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.270 -0.274 -0.54 -0.01 0.25062

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.3    summary:

pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution, choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution, choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 774 143.926 93.563 40.00 265.00 0.00000
D 774 86.975 56.541 24.17 160.14 0.00000
sigma 1751 0.315 0.287 0.19 0.43 0.00000
beta0.lam0 4360 -2.102 -2.076 -2.94 -1.26 0.00183
beta.lam0[1] 8551 0.927 0.789 -0.09 1.91 0.32300

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm3.0    summary:

lure + snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution, choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 687 138.562 78.022 32.00 252.00 0.00000
D 687 83.734 47.149 19.34 152.28 0.00000
sigma 1294 0.305 0.266 0.18 0.43 0.00000
beta0.lam0 4504 -1.764 -1.780 -2.44 -1.06 0.00234
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.102 -0.025 -0.41 0.21 0.98911
beta.lam0[2] 16500 -0.218 -0.189 -0.49 0.07 0.47639

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm3.1    summary:

lure + pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution, choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution, choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 818 142.874 81.862 37.00 255.00 0.00000
D 818 86.340 49.470 21.15 152.89 0.00000
sigma 1806 0.318 0.303 0.19 0.44 0.00000
beta0.lam0 3899 -2.164 -2.125 -3.03 -1.30 0.00183
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.142 -0.116 -0.46 0.18 0.85549
beta.lam0[2] 9833 0.933 0.826 -0.02 1.95 0.30240

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm4.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution, choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution, choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 764 143.286 90.827 34.00 256.00 0.00000
D 764 86.588 54.887 20.55 154.70 0.00000
sigma 1474 0.303 0.267 0.18 0.43 0.00000
beta0.lam0 5552 -1.876 -1.901 -2.59 -1.22 0.00074
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.223 -0.194 -0.58 0.14 0.72331
beta.lam0[2] 16115 -0.265 -0.245 -0.54 0.02 0.35072
beta.lam0[3] 16500 -0.350 -0.375 -0.62 -0.08 0.11490

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]






sc.fm4.2    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution, choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution, choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 764 151.446 112.620 44.00 269.00 0.00000
D 764 91.520 68.057 26.59 162.56 0.00000
sigma 1720 0.317 0.286 0.19 0.44 0.00000
beta0.lam0 3657 -2.357 -2.312 -3.25 -1.51 0.00082
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.251 -0.191 -0.63 0.12 0.65294
beta.lam0[2] 16500 -0.271 -0.251 -0.55 0.02 0.33915
beta.lam0[3] 16500 -0.346 -0.341 -0.61 -0.07 0.11906
beta.lam0[4] 5113 0.930 0.866 -0.04 1.86 0.26827

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]






sc.fm5.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution, choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution, choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 727 153.727 91.161 47.00 276.00 0.00000
D 727 92.898 55.089 26.59 164.98 0.00000
sigma 1836 0.315 0.291 0.19 0.43 0.00000
beta0.lam0 3539 -2.335 -2.372 -3.25 -1.45 0.00161
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.188 -0.146 -0.55 0.17 0.88276
beta.lam0[2] 16937 -0.222 -0.201 -0.52 0.08 0.54659
beta.lam0[3] 16500 -0.221 -0.194 -0.55 0.11 0.58673
beta.lam0[4] 10076 0.966 0.855 -0.08 1.87 0.28241
beta.lam0[5] 16500 0.295 0.284 -0.16 0.74 0.60228

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]






sc.fm5.1    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution, choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution, choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 782 145.802 101.092 38.00 260.00 0.00000
D 782 88.109 61.090 22.96 157.12 0.00000
sigma 1835 0.322 0.292 0.20 0.44 0.00000
beta0.lam0 3959 -2.404 -2.269 -3.27 -1.52 0.00166
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.349 -0.241 -0.77 0.11 0.54103
beta.lam0[2] 16500 -0.252 -0.258 -0.55 0.06 0.42682
beta.lam0[3] 17455 -0.370 -0.365 -0.66 -0.09 0.12190
beta.lam0[4] 8472 0.917 0.823 -0.10 1.86 0.32310
beta.lam0[5] 16500 0.190 0.161 -0.14 0.52 0.63611

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]