2017 SC Model Results
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Year:        2017

Species:      Coyote

Study Site:    Humphreys Basin



Metadata Summary:

n_sites N_detections rep_period model_agg_M iterations burnin thin state_buffer
31 188 7 days 300 350000 20000 20 2.5



WAIC

Models by WAIC:
model description WAIC
sc.fm5.0 lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow 931.6943
sc.fm3.0 lure + snow 936.3170
sc.fm4.0 lure + snow + temp 936.6115
sc.fm4.2 lure + snow + temp + pass 936.9010
sc.fm5.1 lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow 937.2454
sc.fm2.0 lure 939.6044
sc.fm3.1 lure + pass 939.8627
sc.fm2.1 snow 947.4697
sc.fm1 dot model 947.8136
sc.fm2.3 pass 948.3079
sc.fm2.2 temp 949.3292



Reversible Jump MCMC:

sc.fm6.0 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
psi.ind 0.13284
beta.ind[1] 0.05776
beta.ind[2] 0.00236
beta.ind[3] 0.00006
beta.ind[4] 0.00000
beta.ind[5] 0.00000
beta.ind[6] 0.00000
sc.fm6.1 model: (reverse jump - unconstrained) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
psi.ind 0.14057
beta.ind[1] 0.06036
beta.ind[5] 0.05503
beta.ind[4] 0.00418
beta.ind[2] 0.00188
beta.ind[3] 0.00030
beta.ind[6] 0.00012
sc.fm6.4 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass
cov indicator_mean
psi.ind 0.18068
beta.ind[1] 0.08685
beta.ind[2] 0.00321
beta.ind[3] 0.00024
beta.ind[4] 0.00000




Model summaries:

sc.fm1    summary:

dot model

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 755 129.950 75.484 33.00 237.00 0
D 755 78.529 45.615 19.34 142.62 0
sigma 1286 0.537 0.533 0.33 0.72 0
lam0 3191 0.246 0.202 0.10 0.37 0

N

D

sigma

lam0






sc.fm2.0    summary:

lure

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 760 139.256 104.903 43.00 249.00 0.00000
D 760 84.153 63.394 23.57 148.05 0.00000
sigma 1434 0.543 0.525 0.35 0.73 0.00000
beta0.lam0 3112 -1.664 -1.638 -2.28 -1.08 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.361 -0.346 -0.54 -0.18 0.00286

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.1    summary:

snow

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 852 144.589 96.881 44.00 252.00 0.00000
D 852 87.376 58.546 26.59 152.28 0.00000
sigma 1764 0.547 0.530 0.35 0.72 0.00000
beta0.lam0 2805 -1.668 -1.707 -2.26 -1.04 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 0.159 0.165 0.04 0.27 0.09541

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.2    summary:

temp

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 707 141.821 89.396 42.00 255.00 0.00000
D 707 85.703 54.022 24.78 153.49 0.00000
sigma 1394 0.544 0.514 0.35 0.73 0.00000
beta0.lam0 3067 -1.621 -1.655 -2.23 -1.03 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.058 -0.053 -0.18 0.06 0.72843

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.3    summary:

pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 755 141.319 85.101 39.00 253.00 0.00000
D 755 85.400 51.427 22.96 152.28 0.00000
sigma 1383 0.583 0.536 0.36 0.79 0.00000
beta0.lam0 2555 -1.896 -1.939 -2.56 -1.24 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 14566 0.567 0.568 0.11 1.01 0.12428

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm3.0    summary:

lure + snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 754 145.697 80.962 44.00 258.00 0.00000
D 754 88.046 48.926 23.57 152.89 0.00000
sigma 1418 0.547 0.526 0.35 0.74 0.00000
beta0.lam0 3023 -1.732 -1.729 -2.34 -1.11 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.399 -0.382 -0.58 -0.21 0.00125
beta.lam0[2] 16618 0.196 0.199 0.08 0.31 0.02633

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm3.1    summary:

lure + pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 743 133.053 78.721 31.00 241.00 0.00000
D 743 80.405 47.572 17.52 144.43 0.00000
sigma 1552 0.597 0.553 0.37 0.81 0.00000
beta0.lam0 2427 -1.928 -1.877 -2.59 -1.26 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.360 -0.344 -0.55 -0.18 0.00372
beta.lam0[2] 13315 0.570 0.567 0.12 1.02 0.12381

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm4.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 830 142.012 96.287 42.00 250.00 0.00000
D 830 85.819 58.187 25.38 151.08 0.00000
sigma 1538 0.548 0.527 0.35 0.73 0.00000
beta0.lam0 3475 -1.723 -1.672 -2.30 -1.09 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.442 -0.434 -0.64 -0.25 0.00000
beta.lam0[2] 16129 0.186 0.187 0.07 0.30 0.04314
beta.lam0[3] 17338 -0.106 -0.111 -0.24 0.03 0.46372

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]






sc.fm4.2    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 721 139.026 81.720 38.00 250.00 0.00000
D 721 84.014 49.384 22.96 151.08 0.00000
sigma 1261 0.594 0.561 0.39 0.82 0.00000
beta0.lam0 2534 -1.994 -1.949 -2.66 -1.31 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.444 -0.429 -0.64 -0.25 0.00043
beta.lam0[2] 16500 0.174 0.177 0.06 0.29 0.07909
beta.lam0[3] 16500 -0.116 -0.114 -0.25 0.02 0.39923
beta.lam0[4] 14308 0.546 0.541 0.09 0.99 0.14907

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]






sc.fm5.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 773 138.826 79.490 34.00 245.00 0.00000
D 773 83.893 48.036 20.55 148.05 0.00000
sigma 1716 0.599 0.559 0.38 0.81 0.00000
beta0.lam0 2661 -1.968 -1.914 -2.64 -1.27 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.328 -0.309 -0.53 -0.14 0.01823
beta.lam0[2] 16500 0.199 0.200 0.09 0.32 0.02881
beta.lam0[3] 16500 -0.020 -0.020 -0.17 0.12 0.96754
beta.lam0[4] 13759 0.588 0.571 0.12 1.02 0.10739
beta.lam0[5] 17121 0.328 0.353 0.13 0.51 0.02378

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]






sc.fm5.1    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 667 142.621 93.208 38.00 263.00 0.00000
D 667 86.187 56.326 22.96 158.93 0.00000
sigma 1313 0.585 0.560 0.36 0.80 0.00000
beta0.lam0 2466 -2.066 -2.048 -2.76 -1.39 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16742 -0.689 -0.672 -0.98 -0.36 0.00000
beta.lam0[2] 16500 0.238 0.229 0.11 0.37 0.01763
beta.lam0[3] 16500 -0.148 -0.148 -0.29 0.00 0.24908
beta.lam0[4] 14519 0.544 0.547 0.09 1.00 0.15406
beta.lam0[5] 16500 0.244 0.225 0.05 0.45 0.14597

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]