2019 SC Model Results
  • Home
  • AmericanBlackBear
  • AmericanMarten
  • Bobcat
  • Coyote
  • RedFox
  • LongTailedWeasel
  • WhiteTailedJackrabbit


Year:        2019

Species:      AmericanMarten

Study Site:    Ritter Range



Metadata Summary:

n_sites N_detections rep_period model_agg_M iterations burnin thin state_buffer
32 88 7 days 300 350000 20000 20 2.5



WAIC

Models by WAIC:
model description WAIC
sc.fm5.1 lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow 536.3833
sc.fm2.2 temp 539.9674
sc.fm4.0 lure + snow + temp 541.2166
sc.fm5.0 lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow 541.5008
sc.fm4.2 lure + snow + temp + pass 542.2167
sc.fm1 dot model 546.5134
sc.fm2.3 pass 548.3070
sc.fm2.0 lure 548.3691
sc.fm3.1 lure + pass 549.4137
sc.fm2.1 snow 549.6694
sc.fm3.0 lure + snow 550.0090



Reversible Jump MCMC:

sc.fm6.0 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
psi.ind 0.12699
beta.ind[3] 0.00624
beta.ind[1] 0.00042
beta.ind[2] 0.00024
beta.ind[4] 0.00000
beta.ind[5] 0.00000
beta.ind[6] 0.00000
sc.fm6.1 model: (reverse jump - unconstrained) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
psi.ind 0.12654
beta.ind[3] 0.00752
beta.ind[1] 0.00085
beta.ind[4] 0.00067
beta.ind[5] 0.00067
beta.ind[6] 0.00067
beta.ind[2] 0.00024
sc.fm6.4 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass
cov indicator_mean
psi.ind 0.17003
beta.ind[3] 0.01158
beta.ind[1] 0.00073
beta.ind[2] 0.00061
beta.ind[4] 0.00000




Model summaries:

sc.fm1    summary:

dot model

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 1022 53.482 29.163 14.00 97.00 0
D 1022 30.030 16.375 7.86 54.47 0
sigma 1718 0.592 0.600 0.39 0.80 0
lam0 4989 0.216 0.185 0.09 0.34 0

N

D

sigma

lam0






sc.fm2.0    summary:

lure

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 1286 57.672 33.230 16.00 102.00 0.00000
D 1286 32.383 18.658 8.98 57.27 0.00000
sigma 2000 0.600 0.628 0.40 0.80 0.00000
beta0.lam0 4967 -1.805 -1.741 -2.40 -1.19 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.180 -0.180 -0.39 0.04 0.44083

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.1    summary:

snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 1188 60.504 35.280 16.00 108.00 0.0000
D 1188 33.973 19.809 8.42 60.08 0.0000
sigma 2042 0.587 0.591 0.38 0.78 0.0000
beta0.lam0 4869 -1.770 -1.742 -2.40 -1.18 0.0000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 0.052 0.060 -0.12 0.23 0.8944

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.2    summary:

temp

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 1043 58.724 34.080 15.00 107.00 0.00000
D 1043 32.973 19.136 8.42 60.08 0.00000
sigma 1774 0.582 0.605 0.37 0.78 0.00000
beta0.lam0 4209 -1.725 -1.723 -2.32 -1.11 0.00065
beta.lam0[1] 16500 0.306 0.291 0.12 0.48 0.02981

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.3    summary:

pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 941 61.323 39.249 15.00 110.00 0.00000
D 941 34.433 22.038 8.42 61.76 0.00000
sigma 1756 0.580 0.606 0.37 0.79 0.00000
beta0.lam0 4532 -1.801 -1.786 -2.52 -1.16 0.00292
beta.lam0[1] 14075 0.144 0.149 -0.42 0.75 0.86377

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm3.0    summary:

lure + snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 1145 59.181 37.400 16.00 104.00 0.00000
D 1145 33.230 21.000 7.86 57.27 0.00000
sigma 2139 0.597 0.618 0.38 0.79 0.00000
beta0.lam0 4717 -1.815 -1.728 -2.42 -1.19 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.201 -0.206 -0.42 0.02 0.34351
beta.lam0[2] 16500 0.089 0.093 -0.09 0.27 0.71942

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm3.1    summary:

lure + pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 1027 58.216 33.589 14.00 104.00 0.00000
D 1027 32.688 18.860 7.86 58.40 0.00000
sigma 2007 0.597 0.600 0.39 0.80 0.00000
beta0.lam0 4707 -1.850 -1.829 -2.54 -1.20 0.00162
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.180 -0.170 -0.39 0.04 0.43451
beta.lam0[2] 14799 0.162 0.133 -0.45 0.71 0.91515

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm4.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 1113 58.171 34.560 15.00 105.00 0.00000
D 1113 32.663 19.405 8.42 58.96 0.00000
sigma 1736 0.590 0.599 0.38 0.79 0.00000
beta0.lam0 4745 -1.798 -1.823 -2.42 -1.20 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.196 -0.197 -0.41 0.01 0.34279
beta.lam0[2] 16500 0.190 0.203 0.00 0.37 0.26904
beta.lam0[3] 16500 0.372 0.362 0.17 0.56 0.01207

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]






sc.fm4.2    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 759 57.541 36.543 14.00 104.00 0.00000
D 759 32.309 20.519 7.86 58.40 0.00000
sigma 1684 0.589 0.604 0.38 0.80 0.00000
beta0.lam0 4541 -1.796 -1.817 -2.51 -1.15 0.00227
beta.lam0[1] 16116 -0.198 -0.195 -0.41 0.01 0.31731
beta.lam0[2] 16500 0.190 0.183 0.01 0.38 0.27748
beta.lam0[3] 15666 0.373 0.380 0.18 0.57 0.01068
beta.lam0[4] 12039 0.105 0.058 -0.50 0.72 0.98597

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]






sc.fm5.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 908 58.276 35.971 14.00 105.00 0.00000
D 908 32.722 20.197 7.86 58.96 0.00000
sigma 1634 0.584 0.604 0.37 0.78 0.00000
beta0.lam0 4371 -1.757 -1.794 -2.43 -1.07 0.00231
beta.lam0[1] 15401 -0.123 -0.126 -0.35 0.10 0.66980
beta.lam0[2] 16500 0.151 0.146 -0.03 0.34 0.42675
beta.lam0[3] 16784 0.416 0.419 0.20 0.62 0.00566
beta.lam0[4] 14196 0.129 0.106 -0.50 0.70 0.93308
beta.lam0[5] 16468 0.236 0.243 -0.02 0.47 0.32976

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]






sc.fm5.1    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 953 61.963 37.613 15.00 112.00 0.00000
D 953 34.792 21.120 7.86 62.33 0.00000
sigma 1963 0.596 0.624 0.38 0.79 0.00000
beta0.lam0 4161 -2.059 -2.008 -2.77 -1.38 0.00069
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.456 -0.438 -0.72 -0.17 0.02554
beta.lam0[2] 16271 0.287 0.286 0.08 0.48 0.08009
beta.lam0[3] 16500 0.452 0.460 0.24 0.67 0.00433
beta.lam0[4] 14891 0.055 0.047 -0.50 0.65 0.98980
beta.lam0[5] 16500 0.388 0.379 0.19 0.60 0.00721

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]