2019 SC Model Results
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Year:        2019

Species:      Coyote

Study Site:    Ritter Range



Metadata Summary:

n_sites N_detections rep_period model_agg_M iterations burnin thin state_buffer
32 43 7 days 300 350000 20000 20 2.5



WAIC

Models by WAIC:
model description WAIC
sc.fm4.0 lure + snow + temp 285.9300
sc.fm4.2 lure + snow + temp + pass 287.9899
sc.fm5.0 lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow 288.6750
sc.fm5.1 lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow 290.7973
sc.fm3.0 lure + snow 292.9536
sc.fm3.1 lure + pass 299.5834
sc.fm2.0 lure 299.8385
sc.fm2.1 snow 302.0749
sc.fm2.2 temp 311.0369
sc.fm1 dot model 312.3275
sc.fm2.3 pass 313.1876



Reversible Jump MCMC:

sc.fm6.0 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
beta.ind[1] 0.76733
psi.ind 0.23828
beta.ind[2] 0.11473
beta.ind[3] 0.01479
beta.ind[6] 0.00248
beta.ind[4] 0.00000
beta.ind[5] 0.00000
sc.fm6.1 model: (reverse jump - unconstrained) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
beta.ind[1] 0.77230
psi.ind 0.23683
beta.ind[2] 0.11206
beta.ind[3] 0.01339
beta.ind[6] 0.00333
beta.ind[4] 0.00279
beta.ind[5] 0.00236
sc.fm6.4 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass
cov indicator_mean
beta.ind[1] 0.83121
psi.ind 0.34074
beta.ind[2] 0.17933
beta.ind[3] 0.03703
beta.ind[4] 0.00024




Model summaries:

sc.fm1    summary:

dot model

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 3044 17.238 10.993 6.00 29.00 0
D 3044 9.679 6.173 3.37 16.28 0
sigma 6498 0.886 0.877 0.63 1.15 0
lam0 7543 0.171 0.126 0.05 0.28 0

N

D

sigma

lam0






sc.fm2.0    summary:

lure

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 779 22.742 13.909 7.00 39.00 0.00000
D 779 12.770 7.810 3.93 21.90 0.00000
sigma 4560 0.923 0.946 0.67 1.21 0.00000
beta0.lam0 6528 -2.810 -2.752 -3.70 -2.01 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -1.214 -1.187 -1.75 -0.68 0.00035

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.1    summary:

snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 1752 21.048 11.937 7.00 36.00 0.00000
D 1752 11.819 6.703 3.93 20.21 0.00000
sigma 5340 0.906 0.925 0.63 1.18 0.00000
beta0.lam0 7736 -2.377 -2.322 -3.20 -1.60 0.00007
beta.lam0[1] 16500 0.546 0.531 0.29 0.79 0.00194

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.2    summary:

temp

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 668 19.742 12.094 6.00 31.00 0.00000
D 668 11.085 6.791 3.37 17.41 0.00000
sigma 2981 0.906 0.917 0.65 1.18 0.00000
beta0.lam0 8805 -2.127 -2.109 -2.90 -1.38 0.00027
beta.lam0[1] 16500 0.257 0.252 -0.02 0.53 0.33178

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.3    summary:

pass

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 789 19.567 13.129 6.00 31.00 0.00000
D 789 10.987 7.372 3.37 17.41 0.00000
sigma 3204 0.909 0.921 0.64 1.18 0.00000
beta0.lam0 8690 -2.274 -2.268 -3.06 -1.50 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16938 0.405 0.379 -0.23 1.06 0.58872

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm3.0    summary:

lure + snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 1100 27.140 13.874 7.00 48.00 0.00000
D 1100 15.239 7.790 3.37 26.39 0.00000
sigma 3872 0.909 0.923 0.63 1.20 0.00000
beta0.lam0 4667 -3.006 -2.918 -3.90 -2.11 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -1.059 -0.977 -1.55 -0.54 0.00190
beta.lam0[2] 16500 0.480 0.470 0.23 0.72 0.00623

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm3.1    summary:

lure + pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 1459 21.512 15.926 7.00 37.00 0.00000
D 1459 12.079 8.942 3.93 20.78 0.00000
sigma 4598 0.911 0.936 0.64 1.18 0.00000
beta0.lam0 8380 -2.946 -2.909 -3.79 -2.12 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16039 -1.235 -1.204 -1.78 -0.68 0.00037
beta.lam0[2] 16500 0.462 0.536 -0.15 1.07 0.50728

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm4.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 691 24.364 13.889 6.00 40.00 0.0000
D 691 13.680 7.798 3.37 22.46 0.0000
sigma 3215 0.909 0.925 0.64 1.20 0.0000
beta0.lam0 6875 -3.055 -3.070 -3.95 -2.20 0.0000
beta.lam0[1] 17351 -1.172 -1.113 -1.74 -0.62 0.0000
beta.lam0[2] 15917 0.580 0.575 0.31 0.83 0.0015
beta.lam0[3] 16500 0.668 0.654 0.26 1.05 0.0205

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]






sc.fm4.2    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 638 25.953 13.228 6.00 43.00 0.00000
D 638 14.572 7.427 3.37 24.14 0.00000
sigma 2423 0.890 0.906 0.60 1.18 0.00000
beta0.lam0 6804 -3.004 -3.112 -4.01 -2.06 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 15579 -1.164 -1.103 -1.70 -0.58 0.00108
beta.lam0[2] 16500 0.591 0.589 0.33 0.88 0.00126
beta.lam0[3] 16500 0.675 0.669 0.29 1.07 0.01978
beta.lam0[4] 14527 -0.073 -0.063 -0.82 0.62 0.98404

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]






sc.fm5.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 463 23.378 13.922 7.00 39.00 0.00000
D 463 13.127 7.817 3.93 21.90 0.00000
sigma 3182 0.902 0.922 0.63 1.19 0.00000
beta0.lam0 6759 -2.960 -2.968 -3.92 -2.01 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16543 -1.161 -1.079 -1.74 -0.59 0.00000
beta.lam0[2] 15726 0.551 0.526 0.27 0.83 0.00532
beta.lam0[3] 16500 0.627 0.592 0.21 1.01 0.03859
beta.lam0[4] 14621 -0.004 -0.009 -0.72 0.71 0.99975
beta.lam0[5] 16500 0.209 0.201 -0.18 0.57 0.65036

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]






sc.fm5.1    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 524 24.567 13.909 6.00 39.00 0.00000
D 524 13.794 7.810 3.37 21.90 0.00000
sigma 2314 0.901 0.908 0.64 1.20 0.00000
beta0.lam0 6895 -3.260 -3.267 -4.25 -2.28 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 15125 -1.545 -1.475 -2.17 -0.87 0.00000
beta.lam0[2] 15694 0.951 0.895 0.51 1.38 0.00133
beta.lam0[3] 16500 0.748 0.753 0.32 1.14 0.00987
beta.lam0[4] 15387 -0.038 0.024 -0.74 0.65 0.99699
beta.lam0[5] 15275 0.533 0.517 0.04 1.04 0.23531

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]