2019 SC Model Results
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Year:        2019

Species:      WhiteTailedJackrabbit

Study Site:    Ritter Range



Metadata Summary:

n_sites N_detections rep_period model_agg_M iterations burnin thin state_buffer
32 104 7 days 300 350000 20000 20 2.5



WAIC

Models by WAIC:
model description WAIC
sc.fm5.0 lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow 502.8138
sc.fm2.2 temp 543.4455
sc.fm4.0 lure + snow + temp 549.4195
sc.fm5.1 lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow 550.6744
sc.fm4.2 lure + snow + temp + pass 552.2487
sc.fm1 dot model 557.3899
sc.fm2.3 pass 559.7466
sc.fm2.0 lure 560.3249
sc.fm2.1 snow 561.0120
sc.fm3.1 lure + pass 562.5737
sc.fm3.0 lure + snow 564.0933



Reversible Jump MCMC:

sc.fm6.0 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
beta.ind[2] 1.00000
beta.ind[3] 1.00000
beta.ind[5] 1.00000
psi.ind 0.50162
beta.ind[1] 0.00242
beta.ind[4] 0.00000
beta.ind[6] 0.00000
sc.fm6.1 model: (reverse jump - unconstrained) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
beta.ind[5] 1.00000
beta.ind[3] 0.98782
psi.ind 0.38849
beta.ind[2] 0.09685
beta.ind[4] 0.00545
beta.ind[6] 0.00255
beta.ind[1] 0.00152
sc.fm6.4 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass
cov indicator_mean
beta.ind[3] 0.64461
psi.ind 0.27384
beta.ind[1] 0.00212
beta.ind[2] 0.00103
beta.ind[4] 0.00000




Model summaries:

sc.fm1    summary:

dot model

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 415 50.034 21.741 9.00 96.0 0
D 415 28.094 12.207 5.05 53.9 0
sigma 608 0.354 0.400 0.19 0.5 0
lam0 3814 1.073 0.775 0.37 1.7 0

N

D

sigma

lam0






sc.fm2.0    summary:

lure

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 323 53.264 23.612 11.00 108.00 0.00000
D 323 29.907 13.258 5.61 60.08 0.00000
sigma 515 0.360 0.418 0.19 0.52 0.00000
beta0.lam0 4195 -0.234 -0.317 -0.85 0.39 0.67113
beta.lam0[1] 17153 -0.046 -0.047 -0.24 0.15 0.95420

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.1    summary:

snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 387 53.198 22.381 10.00 104.00 0.00000
D 387 29.871 12.567 5.61 58.40 0.00000
sigma 652 0.357 0.421 0.19 0.51 0.00000
beta0.lam0 3948 -0.223 -0.293 -0.86 0.41 0.66468
beta.lam0[1] 17058 0.028 0.033 -0.14 0.18 0.93151

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.2    summary:

temp

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 348 57.971 22.180 11.00 117.00 0.00000
D 348 32.550 12.454 6.18 65.70 0.00000
sigma 528 0.353 0.403 0.18 0.51 0.00000
beta0.lam0 5206 -0.466 -0.505 -1.14 0.13 0.39902
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.471 -0.465 -0.65 -0.29 0.00000

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.3    summary:

pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 455 53.513 21.519 11.00 104.00 0.00000
D 455 30.048 12.083 6.18 58.40 0.00000
sigma 704 0.360 0.420 0.18 0.51 0.00000
beta0.lam0 3779 -0.184 -0.252 -0.85 0.42 0.74569
beta.lam0[1] 7255 -0.329 -0.465 -1.34 0.59 0.74913

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm3.0    summary:

lure + snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 344 55.701 21.321 10.00 114.00 0.00000
D 344 31.276 11.971 5.61 64.01 0.00000
sigma 563 0.354 0.413 0.16 0.50 0.00000
beta0.lam0 4076 -0.236 -0.287 -0.87 0.38 0.63125
beta.lam0[1] 15689 -0.065 -0.058 -0.27 0.13 0.91152
beta.lam0[2] 15698 0.045 0.040 -0.13 0.21 0.90174

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm3.1    summary:

lure + pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 292 57.067 23.531 11.00 119.00 0.00000
D 292 32.043 13.212 6.18 66.82 0.00000
sigma 569 0.356 0.403 0.17 0.51 0.00000
beta0.lam0 4930 -0.191 -0.278 -0.85 0.42 0.73745
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.046 -0.037 -0.24 0.14 0.94172
beta.lam0[2] 7974 -0.336 -0.457 -1.32 0.61 0.77126

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm4.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 330 54.178 21.321 10.00 105.00 0.00000
D 330 30.421 11.971 5.61 58.96 0.00000
sigma 596 0.362 0.421 0.19 0.52 0.00000
beta0.lam0 5035 -0.506 -0.589 -1.16 0.11 0.36486
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.215 -0.208 -0.46 0.02 0.38867
beta.lam0[2] 15945 -0.046 -0.031 -0.23 0.14 0.97156
beta.lam0[3] 16091 -0.547 -0.544 -0.74 -0.34 0.00039

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]






sc.fm4.2    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 350 63.411 23.898 11.00 136.00 0.00000
D 350 35.605 13.419 6.18 76.36 0.00000
sigma 520 0.342 0.400 0.16 0.50 0.00000
beta0.lam0 5542 -0.480 -0.532 -1.12 0.19 0.40069
beta.lam0[1] 16000 -0.223 -0.203 -0.47 0.03 0.36575
beta.lam0[2] 16500 -0.031 -0.036 -0.23 0.16 0.98198
beta.lam0[3] 16500 -0.544 -0.551 -0.75 -0.35 0.00000
beta.lam0[4] 8618 -0.095 -0.252 -1.15 0.96 0.94289

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]






sc.fm5.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 256 66.541 23.818 10.00 141.00 0.00000
D 256 37.362 13.374 5.61 79.17 0.00000
sigma 476 0.328 0.389 0.15 0.49 0.00000
beta0.lam0 4384 -0.576 -0.613 -1.32 0.09 0.30438
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.101 -0.084 -0.35 0.15 0.85773
beta.lam0[2] 16500 0.458 0.467 0.21 0.70 0.01017
beta.lam0[3] 16500 -0.807 -0.813 -1.05 -0.55 0.00000
beta.lam0[4] 7415 -0.089 -0.179 -1.24 0.93 0.95576
beta.lam0[5] 16500 1.129 1.103 0.85 1.41 0.00000

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]






sc.fm5.1    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 355 63.143 22.753 11.00 132.00 0.00000
D 355 35.455 12.776 6.18 74.12 0.00000
sigma 612 0.346 0.401 0.16 0.50 0.00000
beta0.lam0 4744 -0.413 -0.446 -1.10 0.24 0.50414
beta.lam0[1] 15973 -0.118 -0.110 -0.32 0.10 0.70985
beta.lam0[2] 15298 -0.049 -0.036 -0.23 0.15 0.92357
beta.lam0[3] 15418 -0.541 -0.531 -0.74 -0.34 0.00000
beta.lam0[4] 8785 -0.336 -0.337 -1.42 0.66 0.82014
beta.lam0[5] 16500 -0.275 -0.278 -0.46 -0.09 0.05739

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]