2019 SC Model Results
  • Home
  • AmericanBlackBear
  • AmericanMarten
  • Bobcat
  • Coyote
  • RedFox
  • LongTailedWeasel
  • WhiteTailedJackrabbit


Year:        2019

Species:      Bobcat

Study Site:    Ritter Range



Metadata Summary:

n_sites N_detections rep_period model_agg_M iterations burnin thin state_buffer
32 6 7 days 300 350000 20000 20 2.5



WAIC

Models by WAIC:
model description WAIC
sc.fm3.1 lure + pass 74.77709
sc.fm2.0 lure 75.30046
sc.fm1 dot model 78.02406
sc.fm2.2 temp 78.94650
sc.fm3.0 lure + snow 80.49721
sc.fm4.2 lure + snow + temp + pass 81.14192
sc.fm5.1 lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow 81.80255
sc.fm4.0 lure + snow + temp 82.47914
sc.fm2.1 snow 82.72889
sc.fm5.0 lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow 83.77662
sc.fm2.3 pass 86.57164



Reversible Jump MCMC:

sc.fm6.0 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
psi.ind 0.12588
beta.ind[1] 0.01315
beta.ind[3] 0.00121
beta.ind[2] 0.00097
beta.ind[6] 0.00006
beta.ind[4] 0.00000
beta.ind[5] 0.00000
sc.fm6.1 model: (reverse jump - unconstrained) lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow + lure * snow
cov indicator_mean
psi.ind 0.12969
beta.ind[4] 0.02097
beta.ind[1] 0.01358
beta.ind[5] 0.00212
beta.ind[2] 0.00091
beta.ind[6] 0.00085
beta.ind[3] 0.00073
sc.fm6.4 model: (reverse jump) lure + snow + temp + pass
cov indicator_mean
psi.ind 0.17125
beta.ind[1] 0.02012
beta.ind[2] 0.00145
beta.ind[3] 0.00139
beta.ind[4] 0.00000




Model summaries:

sc.fm1    summary:

dot model

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 323 40.030 3.923 2.00 117.00 0
D 323 22.476 2.203 1.12 65.70 0
sigma 14731 1.119 1.104 0.88 1.36 0
lam0 1756 0.025 0.001 0.00 0.06 0

N

D

sigma

lam0






sc.fm2.0    summary:

lure

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 362 143.610 9.283 4.00 271.00 0.00000
D 362 80.637 5.212 2.25 152.17 0.00000
sigma 16500 1.169 1.175 0.93 1.39 0.00000
beta0.lam0 688 -7.560 -7.842 -9.71 -5.20 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16894 -1.899 -1.474 -3.48 -0.35 0.12673

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.1    summary:

snow

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 396 130.903 8.117 3.00 256.00 0.00000
D 396 73.502 4.558 1.68 143.74 0.00000
sigma 16609 1.167 1.162 0.94 1.39 0.00000
beta0.lam0 522 -6.582 -7.201 -8.35 -4.42 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 17160 0.289 0.350 -0.39 0.95 0.79594

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.2    summary:

temp

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 337 133.631 7.826 3.00 264.00 0.00000
D 337 75.033 4.394 1.68 148.24 0.00000
sigma 16500 1.166 1.167 0.94 1.39 0.00000
beta0.lam0 489 -6.532 -7.138 -8.42 -4.43 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16500 -0.143 -0.133 -0.84 0.54 0.95035

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm2.3    summary:

pass

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 281 107.917 5.092 2.00 250.00 0.00000
D 281 60.595 2.859 1.12 140.37 0.00000
sigma 15107 1.162 1.147 0.93 1.39 0.00000
beta0.lam0 9 -28.917 -8.011 -93.89 -2.87 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 9 23.722 2.173 -0.71 89.78 0.10391

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]






sc.fm3.0    summary:

lure + snow

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 335 137.681 8.991 3.00 265.00 0.00000
D 335 77.307 5.049 1.68 148.80 0.00000
sigma 16500 1.167 1.181 0.95 1.40 0.00000
beta0.lam0 724 -7.551 -7.938 -9.81 -5.26 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16192 -1.794 -1.450 -3.23 -0.16 0.14956
beta.lam0[2] 16500 0.237 0.271 -0.39 0.90 0.84106

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm3.1    summary:

lure + pass

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 280 115.145 5.969 3.00 258.00 0.00000
D 280 64.654 3.351 1.68 144.87 0.00000
sigma 16500 1.163 1.166 0.93 1.38 0.00000
beta0.lam0 753 -8.888 -8.923 -11.79 -5.57 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 15623 -1.896 -1.680 -3.42 -0.26 0.13358
beta.lam0[2] 9888 2.528 2.166 0.42 4.57 0.10035

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]






sc.fm4.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 391 137.432 9.865 4.00 261.00 0.00000
D 391 77.168 5.539 2.25 146.55 0.00000
sigma 16500 1.167 1.149 0.93 1.38 0.00000
beta0.lam0 815 -7.797 -8.041 -10.06 -5.48 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 16059 -1.990 -1.616 -3.64 -0.40 0.10419
beta.lam0[2] 16102 0.198 0.233 -0.51 0.84 0.89750
beta.lam0[3] 15960 -0.258 -0.161 -1.28 0.77 0.93536

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]






sc.fm4.2    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass

summary table

param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 301 113.621 5.676 2.00 253.00 0.00000
D 301 63.798 3.187 1.12 142.06 0.00000
sigma 16500 1.163 1.166 0.93 1.39 0.00000
beta0.lam0 740 -9.145 -9.232 -12.15 -5.82 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 15422 -1.996 -1.614 -3.62 -0.39 0.11237
beta.lam0[2] 12822 0.074 0.049 -0.62 0.74 0.98494
beta.lam0[3] 16500 -0.274 -0.245 -1.29 0.75 0.89749
beta.lam0[4] 9615 2.524 2.090 0.43 4.62 0.11123

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]






sc.fm5.0    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + temp * snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 287 100.856 5.092 2.00 243.00 0.00000
D 287 56.630 2.859 1.12 136.44 0.00000
sigma 16500 1.160 1.156 0.93 1.39 0.00000
beta0.lam0 804 -9.388 -9.489 -12.54 -5.98 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 12856 -2.408 -1.851 -4.29 -0.34 0.11103
beta.lam0[2] 13490 0.107 0.031 -0.62 0.81 0.99543
beta.lam0[3] 15771 -0.449 -0.340 -1.62 0.66 0.83334
beta.lam0[4] 6243 2.752 2.227 0.42 4.88 0.09780
beta.lam0[5] 13438 0.901 0.851 -0.32 2.13 0.55237

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]






sc.fm5.1    summary:

lure + snow + temp + pass + lure * snow

summary table

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.

## Warning: Identical densities found along different segments of the distribution,
## choosing rightmost.
param n_effective mean mode hdi_89pct_lower hdi_89pct_upper bayes_P
N 324 111.569 5.676 3.00 250.00 0.00000
D 324 62.646 3.187 1.68 140.37 0.00000
sigma 15305 1.162 1.173 0.93 1.39 0.00000
beta0.lam0 1058 -10.158 -10.287 -13.68 -6.48 0.00000
beta.lam0[1] 9108 -3.265 -2.855 -5.54 -0.94 0.03254
beta.lam0[2] 10622 1.075 0.910 -0.49 2.53 0.52128
beta.lam0[3] 14998 -0.477 -0.419 -1.69 0.71 0.87765
beta.lam0[4] 10638 2.501 1.988 0.35 4.56 0.12582
beta.lam0[5] 10630 1.302 1.271 -0.35 2.96 0.48466

N

D

sigma

beta0.lam0

beta.lam0[1]

beta.lam0[2]

beta.lam0[3]

beta.lam0[4]

beta.lam0[5]